NEAM Insights

It is important for insurance companies to have well-grounded expectations for the coming year with respect to fixed income investment returns. In an effort to provide guidance to clients and others, we have used GR–NEAM’s proprietary return projection methodology to establish a realistic target for fixed income returns and a reasonable range of outcomes for fixed income portfolios of the U.S. P&C insurance industry for 2015. Read More

In September, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) released a Notice of Proposed Rulemaking (NPR) proposing to revise its regulations governing Federal Home Loan Bank (FHLB) membership requirements while seeking to address what they view as issues related to the FHLBs’ housing finance mission. This Quick Takes outlines a brief history of the FHLB, our understanding of the NPR and how, if passed, the proposed changes may affect insurance companies going forward. Read More

The fall in Euro Area (EA) inflation during the last twelve months has been a surprise to policy makers and market participants alike. In addition to current headline inflation reading of slightly above zero—longer term inflation expectations have also declined. A lackluster growth/deflationary outcome would represent a significant medium term challenge to some EA sovereigns that still require de-leveraging and structural reform. Read More

Change is on the way for UK GAAP reporters with FRS 102 “The Financial Reporting Standard Applicable in the UK and Republic of Ireland” being adopted by the UK Financial Reporting Council (FRC) with effect from 2015. Read More

Interest rates will rise. Of that we are relatively certain. However, we are less certain regarding the start date, sequencing, severity and the sustainably of the increase. Insurers are accustomed to managing the uncertainty of insurance risks. How should they manage investment risk in an uncertain rising interest rate environment? Read More

Regulators have legislative responsibility to establish solvency standards for insurers. Rating agencies have a commercial interest in providing a framework to gauge insurers’ capital adequacy. For each the focus is to assign capital charges to the various activities of insurers, tally their accumulation and conclude either the need for regulatory intervention or assigning a financial rating, respectively. Read More

This is our 14th year of reporting on the U.S. property and casualty industry investment holdings. GR–NEAM’s database encompasses CUSIP holdings and their market statistics (durations, spreads, NRSO ratings, etc.) as of each year end since 2000. The year-end market statistics history cannot be replicated and we are unaware of it existing elsewhere. This enables GR–NEAM to provide greater depth of insurer portfolio analysis than what is otherwise available. Read More

Introduction This is the second year GR–NEAM has performed a market analysis of publicly-traded, Bermuda domiciled insurers. Our goal is to highlight the peer group’s Financial and Stock Market Performance, Investment Performance, and Underwriting Performance. Additional analysis depicting firm-by-firm results and additional research will be forthcoming. Read More

Regulatory Development In November of 2012, the Treasury Market Practices Group (“TMPG”), an industry group sponsored by the New York Fed, announced “best practices” guidance for forward-settling agency mortgage backed securities (MBS). In keeping with the growing regulatory concern surrounding systemic risk, TMPG now recommends that parties post collateral, or margin, to mitigate counterparty risk owing to market value changes. The new regulation applies to the primary dealers (the twenty one trading counterparties of the New York Fed) and, by extension, to entities that trade with the primary dealers. The new guidance will apply to all trades with a contractual settlement greater than one business day (three business days for CMOs), with implementation targeted for January 1, 2014. Read More

Enterprise Value-at-Risk (VaR) remains relevant as a key metric in solvency assessment and insurer capital adequacy measurement by regulators in Solvency II regimes. More broadly, including the United States, as companies continue to develop their internal economic capital models, VaR is a reference statistic to adjudicate modeled outcomes. In addition, as a competitive assessment tool, VaR metrics can be insightful for benchmarking performance. In all instances, the need for a singular metric comparable across industry segments and geography will increase, as will the need for transparency and uniform methods of estimation. Read More